Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.665098 0.772862 0.889814 1.025819 1.179272 1.346680 1.542753
2025-01-05 0.482517 0.625605 0.795378 1.010101 1.272723 1.581661 1.970607
2025-01-12 0.366772 0.522638 0.722114 0.992552 1.345559 1.786240 2.372847
2025-01-19 0.290620 0.450129 0.668170 0.981797 1.414019 1.980472 2.769100
2025-01-26 0.244488 0.407564 0.643647 1.000839 1.516068 2.219003 3.234113
2025-02-02 0.207480 0.370370 0.618969 1.012716 1.604237 2.440302 3.686691
2025-02-09 0.176944 0.337081 0.593910 1.018300 1.679958 2.645461 4.126277
2025-02-16 0.156295 0.316033 0.584020 1.043960 1.784952 2.896791 4.644530
2025-02-23 0.136279 0.292321 0.565928 1.053075 1.862923 3.110616 5.117811
2025-03-02 0.112771 0.257796 0.524349 1.017641 1.864940 3.206374 5.416024
2025-03-09 0.101728 0.245302 0.519714 1.043908 1.968471 3.464644 5.976167
2025-03-16 0.091277 0.232087 0.511775 1.062792 2.059825 3.707439 6.523277
2025-03-23 0.086097 0.229600 0.524585 1.121772 2.226771 4.086322 7.314002
2025-03-30 0.074870 0.211611 0.504585 1.117322 2.281519 4.283073 7.820775
2025-04-06 0.064293 0.192953 0.480534 1.102086 2.314732 4.444334 8.276246
2025-04-13 0.055660 0.177180 0.460207 1.091537 2.354697 4.617949 8.759249
2025-04-20 0.050478 0.169216 0.455832 1.112777 2.455757 4.903268 9.445512
2025-04-27 0.045364 0.160336 0.448102 1.125906 2.541507 5.165104 10.102399
2025-05-04 0.040448 0.150915 0.437739 1.132059 2.613384 5.404834 10.730510
2025-05-11 0.037271 0.145945 0.437433 1.160166 2.730972 5.733956 11.531263
2025-05-18 0.033529 0.138360 0.429528 1.170147 2.811714 5.997849 12.225295
2025-05-25 0.028124 0.123949 0.401878 1.131355 2.787328 6.060888 12.555296
2025-06-01 0.026076 0.120461 0.402738 1.160115 2.908267 6.408177 13.423340